Seven predictions for 2026
Article adapted from episode content.

The pro-life movement stands at a pivotal juncture as it prepares for the intellectual and cultural battles of 2026. As we look ahead, it is clear that the arguments defending abortion will manifest as a combination of familiar rhetorical “rehashes” and sophisticated “new twists” designed to destabilize the biblical worldview. To effectively counter these challenges, proponents of life must be intellectually equipped and prepared to identify the philosophical underpinnings of the opposition. Drawing upon the recurring themes and concepts from our ongoing analysis of pro-life apologetics, this article presents seven critical predictions for the ideological landscape of 2026.

1. The Weaponization of the “Hard Cases” (The Rehash)

A primary prediction for 2026 is the intensified use of rape and incest as rhetorical shields to justify elective abortion. As seen in previous engagements, such as Allie Beth Stuckey’s interaction with progressive critics, opponents often prioritize these “hard cases”—which statistically represent less than 1% of all abortions—to avoid discussing the morality of the remaining 99%.

In 2026, we can expect critics to continue using these emotionally charged scenarios to paint pro-life advocates as “extremists” and “lacking compassion.” However, as established in our conversation history, the pro-life response must remain focused on the fundamental syllogism: it is wrong to intentionally kill an innocent human being; abortion kills an innocent human being; therefore, abortion is wrong. By calling the critic’s bluff—asking if they would support a ban on the 99% of elective abortions if the 1% were excepted—pro-life advocates can expose that these arguments are often used as diversions rather than principled foundations for the pro-choice position.

2. The Rise of “Episodic Personhood” and Performance Traits (The New Twist)

Building on the secular “performance view” of human value, 2026 will likely see a more aggressive push for the concept of “episodic personhood.” This view, influenced by philosophers like Peter Singer, suggests that a human being only gains the status of a “person” when they possess certain immediately exercisable cognitive traits, such as self-awareness or the ability to envision a future.

This prediction stems from the observed trend of separating “humanity” from “personhood.” Critics will increasingly argue that while a fetus may be biologically human, it is not a “person” with a right to life because it lacks these subjective traits. Pro-life advocates must be ready to counter this by demonstrating the logical absurdity of this position: if rights are tied to fluctuating cognitive abilities, then human equality is destroyed. We must insist that human value is an intrinsic endowment grounded in our shared nature as image-bearers of God, not an attributed status based on performance.

3. The Linguistic Separation of the Self from the Body (The New Twist)

A significant linguistic shift is predicted for 2026, where the rhetoric of “person-first” language will be increasingly used to enforce body-self dualism. As explored in our discussion regarding the terminology of disability, there is a growing pressure to speak of “persons with disabilities” or “persons who are pregnant” in a way that suggests the “real person” is a separate entity from their physical body.

This new twist in the debate aims to make the physical reality of the unborn—and even the biological reality of the mother—seem irrelevant to the “self.” By separating the self from the body, proponents of abortion can argue that killing the body of a fetus does not constitute “killing a person” because the “person” (the cognitive self) has not yet emerged. Pro-life advocates must remain committed to a biblical anthropology that views the human person as a dynamic union of body and soul, asserting that what we do to the body, we do to the person.

4. The “Triage” Fallacy in Legislative Debates (The Rehash)

The infamous “Burning Research Lab” thought experiment—which asks whether one would save a six-year-old or a thousand frozen embryos—will likely be “rehashed” and expanded into public policy debates in 2026. Critics will use this scenario to argue that because society prioritizes born children in emergency situations, we do not truly believe embryos are human.

Pro-life advocates must be prepared to dismantle this false moral equivalence. Our conversation history makes it clear that the question of “whom do we save first?” (a rescue/triage decision) is fundamentally different from the question of “whom do we get to intentionally kill?” (the abortion question). We must remind the public that choosing to save one life in an emergency does not grant the moral right to intentionally end another. In 2026, this distinction will be crucial as opponents try to use the complexities of medical ethics to “muddy the waters” of the core pro-life argument.

5. The Fragmentation of Mission via “Pro-Abundant Life” Models (The New Twist)

A critical prediction regarding the internal strategy of the movement is the continued rise of the “pro-abundant life” (PAL) model. While intended to be holistic, this shift threatens to dilute the focus of the pro-life movement by demanding it take on a “backbreaking” array of social responsibilities, from marriage counseling to poverty alleviation, as a prerequisite for its legitimacy.

In 2026, pro-life organizations will face increasing pressure to adopt these programmatic expansions. However, drawing from the “Concerns about pro-abundant life” analysis, we can predict that this will lead to “mission drift” and resource exhaustion. Pro-life advocates must be ready to defend the necessity of a singular focus: the protection of innocent life from intentional killing. While the church at large carries the mandate for discipleship and social welfare, pro-life organizations must maintain their specific role as “lifeguards” for the unborn.

6. The Crisis of Moral Clarity and the Secularization of the Pulpit (The Rehash)

Based on recent research from Barna and Arizona Christian University, we predict a continuing crisis of discipleship within the church through 2026. The data indicates a significant drop in the number of churchgoers who hold a biblical worldview and believe the Scriptures are unambiguous on abortion.

This “rehash” of spiritual apathy is perhaps the most dangerous trend. We can expect that more pastors will avoid these “sensitive” topics to remain “seeker-friendly,” leading to a generation of believers who are shaped more by 40 hours of secular social media than by one hour of biblical teaching. The pro-life movement in 2026 must prioritize the re-equipment of the church, teaching believers how to apply the SLED acronym (Size, Level of development, Environment, and Degree of dependency) and the core syllogism to navigate a culture dominated by relativism.

7. The Redefinition of “Health Care” and the Genetic Fallacy (The New Twist)

Finally, we predict a sophisticated evolution in how abortion is framed as “essential health care.” Critics will increasingly move beyond simple assertions and begin to employ the “genetic fallacy,” attacking the historical origins of the pro-life movement as a way to delegitimize its current arguments. They may claim that pro-life convictions are rooted in past political strategies or systemic biases rather than moral principles.

Pro-life advocates must be ready to refuse these diversions. As demonstrated by Allie Beth Stuckey, the response must be to pull the conversation back to the definition of terms: “In what other situation is the intentional killing of an innocent person considered health care?” We must insist that the truth of a moral claim—such as the wrongness of killing the innocent—does not depend on the history of the movement that defends it, but on the objective reality of the act itself.

Conclusion: The Mandate for Readiness

The predictions for 2026 suggest a landscape that is both challenging and intellectually demanding. Some arguments will be “rehashes” of the same logical fallacies we have faced for decades, while others will be “new twists” born of a culture that has abandoned an objective, biblical anthropology. Regardless of the form these arguments take, the mandate for the pro-life advocate remains the same: we must be ready.

Readiness in 2026 means moving beyond emotional appeals and “spin.” It requires a commitment to rigorous apologetics, an unwavering focus on the humanity of the unborn, and a refusal to allow the conversation to be hijacked by distractions or false moral equivalencies. By anchoring our defense in the unchanging truth of the Imago Dei and the clarity of the pro-life syllogism, we can effectively engage a hostile culture and continue the vital work of rescuing those being led away to death.